Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2022: 63-83

Ovlivňují ekonomické determinanty velikost vojenských výdajů?Recenzované - Vědecký

Lenka Brigzalová, Vojtěch Müllner, Jakub Odehnal, Jiří Neubauer

Cílem článku je identifikovat závislost vojenských výdajů a vybraných ekonomických determinantů na příkladu zemí V4, v letech 1999-2020. Jako ekonomické determinanty jsou vybrány: velikost hrubého domácího produktu, míra inflace, dluh a deficit vládního sektoru a nezaměstnanost. Korelační analýza prokázala očekávaný vztah mezi hrubým domácím produktem a vojenskými výdaji Maďarska a zejména Polska. Vztah mezi vojenskými výdaji a nezaměstnaností byl potvrzen u Polska, Maďarska a Slovenska, očekávaný vztah mezi vojenskými výdaji a vládním dluhem u České republiky. Lineárně regresní model potvrdil pozitivní vliv hrubého domácího produktu na vojenské výdaje v případě Polska, vliv nárůstu vojenských výdajů vlivem zvyšující se inflace u Maďarska a negativní vliv narůstající zadluženosti státu v případě České republiky. Výsledky zároveň nepotvrdily uniformitu faktorů ovlivňujících velikost vojenských faktorů u analyzovaných zemí V4.

Klíčová slova: vojenské výdaje; hrubý domácí produkt (HDP); harmonizovaný index spotřebitelských cen (HICP); dluh vládního sektoru; nezaměstnanost.

Do Economic Determinants Affect the Size of Military Spending?

The article aims to identify the dependence of military expenditures and selected economic determinants on the example of the V4 countries in the years 1999-2020. The following are selected as economic determinants: the size of the gross domestic product, the rate of inflation, the debt and deficit of the government sector and unemployment. Correlation analysis proved the expected relationship between the gross domestic product and the military expenditure of Hungary and especially Poland. The relationship between military spending and unemployment was confirmed for Poland, Hungary and Slovakia, the expected relationship between military spending and government debt for the Czech Republic. The linear regression model confirmed the positive effect of the gross domestic product on military expenditure in the case of Poland, the effect of the increase in military expenditure due to rising inflation in Hungary and the negative effect of increasing state indebtedness in the case of the Czech Republic. At the same time, the results did not confirm the uniformity of the factors affecting the size of the military factors in the analyzed V4 countries.

Keywords: Military Expenditure; Gross Domestic Product (GDP); Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP); General Government Debt; Unemployment.

Zveřejněno: 15. září 2022  Zobrazit citaci

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Brigzalová, L., Müllner, V., Odehnal, J., & Neubauer, J. (2022). Ovlivňují ekonomické determinanty velikost vojenských výdajů? Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review, 103(3), 63-83
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