Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. MC/2017: 61-70
Mezníky analýzy současných konfliktů: mezi tradicí a potřebou inovaceRecenzované - Přehledový
Článek se zabývá korelací mezi metodikami analýzy konfliktů a dynamikou mezinárodního bezpečnostního prostředí a zdůrazňuje potřebu přizpůsobit tyto metodiky rychlému sledu událostí ve světě. Analytický přístup začíná přehledem obecné teorie konfliktu; autor se následně zaměřuje na nejčastěji používané modely analýzy současných konfliktů a shrnuje způsob přístupu k témuž konfliktu, konkrétně nedávným událostem na Ukrajině, aby znázornil výhody a nevýhody jednotlivých modelů. Závěrečná část článku namísto závěru rozvíjí korelaci mezi dvěma analyzovanými body a způsob, jakým lze konkrétní prvky metodik přizpůsobit vývoji hlavních charakteristik mezinárodního bezpečnostního prostředí.
Klíčová slova: Konflikt; vojenský konflikt; politický konflikt; analýza konfliktů; mezinárodní bezpečnostní prostředí.
Landmarks in Analysing Contemporary Conflicts: Between Tradition and the Need for Innovation
The paper discusses the correlation between methodologies of conflict analysis and dynamics of international security environment and highlights the need to tailor these methodologies to the rapid sequencing of world events. The analytical approach starts with an overview on the general theory of conflict, whereupon the author focuses on the most widely used models of contemporary conflict analysis and summarizes the way they approach the same conflict, namely the recent events in Ukraine, in order to illustrate the advantages and disadvantages of each model. The final part of the paper develops, instead of conclusions, the correlation between the two analysed items and the way in which specific components of the methodologies can be adapted to the development of main characteristics of the international security environment.
Keywords: Conflict; Military Conflict; Political Conflict; Conflict Analysis; International Security Environment
Zveřejněno: 15. říjen 2017 Zobrazit citaci
Reference
- Alexandra SARCINSCHI "Tensiuni, crize, conflicte la început de mileniu", in Lumea 2005. Enciclopedie politică şi militară (World 2005. Political and Military Encyclopedia), eds. Teodor FRUNZETI and Vladimir ZODIAN, Editura CTEA, Bucharest, 2005, pp. 86-98, ISBN 973-7601-20-3)
- Alexandra SARCINSCHI, Vulnerabilitate, risc, amenințare. Securitatea ca reprezentare psihosocială, Editura Militară, Bucharest, 2007, ISBN 978-973-32-0739-9)
- Stan ANTON, Alexandra SARCINSCHI, Eugen SITEANU, Conflictele atipice ale secolului al XXI-lea, Editura Universității Naționale de Apărare "Carol I", Bucharest, 2015, ISBN 978-606-660-220-4).
- Steve BRUCE and Steven YEARLEY, The Sage Dictionary of Sociology, SAGE Publications, London-Thousand Oaks-New Delhi, 2006, pp. 46-47, ISBN 0-7619-7481-4 and 0-7619-7482-2.
- INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE OF THE RED CROSS (ICRC), How is the Term "Armed Conflict" Defined in International Humanitarian Law?, Opinion Paper, March 2008, URL: https://www.icrc.org/eng/assets/files/other/opinion-paper-armed-conflict.pdf
- GENEVA ACADEMY OF INTERNATIONAL HUMANITARIAN LAW AND HUMAN RIGHTS, Rule of Law in Armed Conflicts Project (RULAC), URL: http://www.geneva-academy.ch/RULAC/qualification_of_armed_conflict.php
- DOUMA, Pyt S., The Origins of Contemporary Conflict. A Comparision of Violence in Three World Regions, Netherlands Institute of International Relations Clingendael, 2003, p. 7, URL: https://www.clingendael.nl/sites/default/files/20030900_cli_study18.pdf
- E. BROWN, Michael (ed.), The International Dimension of Internal Conflict, MIT Press, Cambridge, 1996, p. 579 apud Pyt S. DOUMA, The Origins of Contemporary Conflict. A Comparision of Violence in Three World Regions, 2003, p. 11.
- K.J. HOLSTI, The State, War and the State of War, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1996 apud Pyt S. DOUMA, The Origins of Contemporary Conflict. A Comparision of Violence in Three World Regions, 2003, p. 12.
- HEIDELBERG INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT RESEARCH, Conflict Barometer 2016, No. 25, online edition, Heidelberg, 2017, p. 6, URL: https://www.hiik.de/en/konfliktbarometer/pdf/ConflictBarometer_2016.pdf
- THE UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM - Definitions, Conflict, armed, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, URL: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/definitions/#Active
- THE UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM - Definitions, Conflict, interstate, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, URL: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/definitions/#Active
- THE UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM - Definitions, Conflict, intrastate with foreign involvement, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, URL: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/definitions/#Active
- THE UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM - Definitions, Conflict, intrastate, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, URL: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/definitions/#Active
- THE UPPSALA CONFLICT DATA PROGRAM - Definitions, Ukraine, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, URL: http://www.ucdp.uu.se/gpdatabase/gpcountry.php?id=161®ion-Select=9-Eastern_Europe
- STRATFOR (URL: https://www.stratfor.com)
- CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES (URL: http://csis.org)
- CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE (URL: http://carnegieendowment.org)
- RUSI (URL: www.rusi.org)
- CHATHAM HOUSE (https://www.chathamhouse.org)
- Sebastian SCHUTTE and Niels B. WEIDMANN, "Diffusion Patterns of Violence in Civil Wars", in Political Geography, No. 30(3), 2011, pp. 143-152, ISSN: 0962-6298
- Olav OFSTAD, Conflict Management in International Relations: A Field Guide, Routledge, Oxon, 2015, ISBN 978-1-138-79418-4 (hbk) and 978-1-315-75938-8 (ebk).
- Steven C. WILLIAMSON, From Fourth Generation Warfare to Hybrid War, US Army War College, Carlisle Barracks, 2009, pp. 13-15, URL: http://indianstrategicknowledgeonline.com/web/FROM%20FOURTH%20GENERATION%20to%20hybrid.pdf
- THE GENEVA CENTRE FOR THE DEMOCRATIC CONTROL OF ARMED FORCES (DCAF), Armed Non-State Actors: Current Trends & Future Challenges, DCAF Horizon 2015 Working Paper no. 5, Geneva, 2015, URL: www.dcaf.ch/content/download/53925/812465/file/ANSA_Final.pdf
- A comprehensive overview on these concepts is to be found in ANTON, Stan, "Conceptual Insights of Strategic Shock and Strategic Surprise", in Strategic Impact, No. 1/2013, pp. 58-67, ISSN 1841-5784, e-ISSN 1842-9904, ISSN-L 1841-5784.


