Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. MC/2017: 101-109

The Future Security Environment: An Emerging ViewNonreviewed - Other

Aron Bazin

The future security environment through 2035 and beyond will likely be increasingly complex and both present challenges and offer opportunities to NATO military forces. Analysis of the future security environment indicates that forces will likely face challenges that could unfold in an exponentially accelerated and increasingly complex fashion. As trends converge in the future, there are twelve likely instability situations that could reach a threshold requiring the Alliance's use of military forces, including: weapons of mass destruction/effect use, conventional war, escalatory use of force, hybrid war, unconventional war/terrorism, global commons disruption, critical infrastructure attack, cyberattack, governance challenges, endangerment of civilian populations, pandemic disease, and natural/man-made disasters. However, there are also many opportunities that NATO military forces could seize in the future, including building and strengthening relationships, addressing emerging challenges, capitalising on innovative technology and ideas to maintain the military edge, and understanding and influencing the human aspects of conflict. Ultimately, to keep the operational edge today and in the future, NATO joint forces and partners will need to continually evolve, adapt, and innovate to improve their ability to act together comprehensively across all domains to communicate and achieve the political-military objectives of the Alliance.

Keywords: NATO; Future Security Environment; Framework for Future Alliance Operations Strategy

Published: October 15, 2017  Show citation

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Bazin, A. (2017). The Future Security Environment: An Emerging View. Czech Military Review, 98(MC), 101-109
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