Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2012: 148-164

The Fragmentarization of Europe as a Security Threat Europe 2010: Predictions and RealityMilitary sociology

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Unlike the real state of affairs, the scenarios for Europe 2010 did not presuppose the rise of financial and economy crises. Political scientists did not perceive the series of terrorist attacks, namely in Great Britain, Spain and Russia. Security questions, home security and defence, came to the foreground more then was originally expected. There are hubs of future power blocks of divided Europe. It is impossible to incorporate all the results and consequences of our presuppositions. Since we want to look into individual, particularly interesting developments, the author recommends to create several teams for individual scenarios, instead of drawing several scenarios by one scholarly team.

Keywords: Europe, European union, prognosis, military conflict, scenario, trends of development

Published: September 15, 2012  Show citation