Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2008: 3-17
Wild Cards in the Future Development of Word's Security (Trends till the Year 2040)Nonreviewed - Other
This opening study is written by two authors, members of Centre for Social and Economic Strategies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University Prague, which is an interdisciplinary research and education unit engaged in the development of theory, methodology and practice of exploring possible futures, and the application of analyses and forecasts in decision making. The authors propose to supplement prognostic scenarios by the so-called wild cards that represent something unpredictable, extra players or actors taking part in a global politics. They compare wild cards of 2001 with the present-day situation, and then predict state of affairs till 2040, among others, the islamisation of Europe and hispanisation of the United States. The purpose of this is to promote dialogues between military and security experts, politicians, civil servants, civil sector activists, as well as individual citizens.
Keywords: security threats,security environment,global security threats,scenarios,trends of development
Published: June 15, 2008 Show citation
